Commute Sports NHL xGoal Model
Not all shots in hockey have the same chance of being a goal. A shot right in front of theContinue Reading
Not all shots in hockey have the same chance of being a goal. A shot right in front of theContinue Reading
After over a year since my last article (February 2021), I decided to return with a quick and simple tutorialContinue Reading
The game of hockey is all about chance, especially in the NHL, any team could win on any given night.Continue Reading
My first real statistical article was originally posted back in November 2019. In that post I created a model toContinue Reading
The theme of all my social distancing posts seem to be predicting sports games. I started with NCAA college basketballContinue Reading
While the Stanley Cup Playoffs are still over a month away, and a lot could still change as far asContinue Reading
A goal for this site is to create more interactive content for everyone. I decided to start with this: an interactive dashboard looking at individual shot data from the NHL.
While teams do score with the extra attacker, about 34% of the goals scored in the last 5 minutes are against the team who pulled the goalie.
The next day however Model 1 and Model 2 went 23-7. They both correctly picked 77% of bets right.
The extremes of the Fenwick measure are some very dominant and very poor teams. The 2014-15 and 2013-14 Buffalo Sabers certainly take the cake for some of the worst teams recently.